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>>Trump might permit China to purchase a reduced‑spec version of Nvidia’s Blackwell chip.

Trump might permit China to purchase a reduced‑spec version of Nvidia’s Blackwell chip.

crypthub

about 16 hours ago

Congressional Alarm

Lawmakers across the aisle warn that allowing even a reduced Nvidia Blackwell AI chip to China could hand Beijing a strategic weapon. Chairman John Moolenaar likened the sale to giving Iran weapons‑grade uranium. He urged the administration to keep the latest AI hardware out of the hands of a primary adversary.

Export Control Risks

The proposed B30A chip is a scaled‑down Blackwell packaged differently, but its performance is comparable. Experts say exporting it would undermine the 2022 export regime designed to block China’s military from U.S. AI advances. Trump’s hint at permitting the sale has sparked fierce pushback from security analysts.

Potential Outcomes

Analysts model nine scenarios; the best case preserves a 30‑fold U.S. lead in AI computing, while the worst could let China overtake the United States by 2026. A middle scenario would shrink the advantage to roughly four times. Any sizable export would dramatically erode the current U.S. edge.

Expert Opinions

Tim Fist warns that approving B30A shipments would “functionally end” today’s export controls. Chris McGuire adds that losing the chip advantage could reduce the U.S. to a tie or worse with China. Both stress that the U.S. lead now rests on superior chips and computing power.