Yes

>>A trader claims that heightened fear and the death‑cross indicate a substantial Bitcoin rally.

A trader claims that heightened fear and the death‑cross indicate a substantial Bitcoin rally.

crypthub

about 11 hours ago

Rastani's Bullish Outlook

Veteran analyst Alessio Rastani says Bitcoin is poised for a strong rally, trading around $91,000—up 6% this week and about 28% below its October all‑time high of $126,000. He cites a classic death‑cross technical signal combined with extreme negative sentiment as the perfect rebound setup. He believes these conditions set the stage for a bounce in the coming weeks.

Technical and Sentiment Signals

Rastani argues bears are premature, noting that 75% of death crosses since 2011 occurred near major bottoms and yielded positive returns in the following 1‑3 months, especially when appearing right after an ATH like the Nov 15 signal. The Fear & Greed Index has lingered in extreme fear and social media chatter predicts drops to $10,000, a sign of capitulation. He expects a 15‑20% bounce in weeks, with potential new highs in early 2026, supported by long‑term price levels and an oversold weekly RSI.

Cautious Counterviews

Other analysts remain cautious: 30‑day and 365‑day MVRV ratios are still negative, indicating many holders are underwater. Whales with 10‑10,000 BTC have cut exposure for six straight weeks, and leveraged perpetual futures are at historic ratios, with longs about 72% of positions on Binance and Bybit. These on‑chain and derivatives pressures temper bullish confidence.