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>>Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle: A Powerful Driver of Price Declines and Future ETF Expansion

Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle: A Powerful Driver of Price Declines and Future ETF Expansion

crypthub

about 2 hours ago

Four-Year Cycle

Matt Hougan links Bitcoin’s current slump to its predictable four‑year halving cycle. After each halving, mining rewards are cut in half, creating scarcity that fuels a bull run followed by a consolidation phase. The present decline is therefore a normal reset, not a structural failure.

Compounding Bear Factors

He notes that other forces amplify the dip: capital shifts to gold and AI equities, media focus moves away from crypto, and concerns about quantum‑computing risks and political uncertainty rise. These narratives intensify negative sentiment but tend to fade when markets recover.

ETF Growth Drivers

Despite the bear market, Hougan argues crypto ETFs will keep expanding because Bitcoin’s supply is capped at 21 million and derivative activity forces institutions to buy spot Bitcoin. Spot ETFs, holding the actual asset, benefit from this demand pipeline.

Long-Term Outlook

Historical bear phases have built infrastructure, and today’s development of regulated spot ETFs cements crypto’s entry into mainstream finance. While price cycles dictate timing, the underlying fundamentals support steady, long‑term adoption.