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BNP Paribas Unveils 2025 Analysis Showing China’s AI Strategy Heightening Global Tech Competition

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BNP Paribas Unveils 2025 Analysis Showing China’s AI Strategy Heightening Global Tech Competition

China's AI Strategy

The 2017 “Next Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan” sets a 2030 leadership goal. State investment builds research infrastructure and secures vast domestic data for training. Chinese firms now file the most AI patents and publish the most papers worldwide. The plan embeds AI across manufacturing, surveillance and defence.

Intensified Global Rivalry

Western export controls on chips and Chinese overseas AI investments create a “technological decoupling”. BNP Paribas tracks declining joint research, divergent standards and rising investment flows as key rivalry indicators. Both sides pour roughly $300 billion into competing semiconductor and AI programmes. Analysts see a competitive scenario likely to dominate through 2030.

Economic and Market Impacts

Supply chains are regionalising, forcing firms to run separate product lines for China and the West. Costs rise and economies of scale fall, pushing higher prices on consumers. Automotive, telecom and cloud sectors face incompatible standards, while regional champions emerge. Venture capital increasingly backs AI‑hardware start‑ups.

Geopolitical and Corporate Adaptations

Governments launch sovereign wealth funds and visa schemes to attract AI talent; universities expand curricula. Multinationals set up distinct research centers and comply with divergent regulations. Standards bodies become battlegrounds as China proposes alternatives to Western norms. The rivalry reshapes investment, security and policy priorities worldwide.