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>>AUD/USD outlook: robust pair slides to 0.7050 as a favorable technical view persists

AUD/USD outlook: robust pair slides to 0.7050 as a favorable technical view persists

crypthub

3 days ago

Current Position

The AUD/USD pair has slipped to the 0.7050 zone, a key psychological level, in early 2025 trading. The move follows a test of resistance near 0.7150 and reflects a healthy consolidation rather than a reversal. A modest rise in the US Dollar Index and cautious RBA minutes have tempered the Aussie’s advance.

Technical Outlook

The pair stays above its 100‑day and 200‑day SMAs, which sit around 0.6950, providing solid support. Higher lows since Q4 2024 signal ongoing buying interest, while the 14‑day RSI has cooled to about 55, reducing overbought pressure. The MACD histogram remains positive, and a break above 0.7150 could target the 0.7200 barrier.

Fundamental Drivers

Australia’s terms of trade benefit from resilient iron‑ore prices and steady demand from Asian partners, supporting the currency. The RBA maintains a “higher for longer” stance, narrowing the rate gap with the Fed and easing pressure on the AUD. Stable equity markets in the Asia‑Pacific region also boost risk‑on sentiment.

Market Context and Outlook

Compared with other G10 pairs, the AUD’s modest decline aligns with broader dollar strength and shows no isolated weakness. Near‑term direction hinges on upcoming US inflation data and RBA commentary, but the prevailing bias remains constructive. Traders will watch the 0.7020‑0.7030 support zone closely for validation.