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>>The Federal Reserve's latest meeting notes indicate that officials, including Chair Powell, anticipate lowering interest rates twice more before the year ends.

The Federal Reserve's latest meeting notes indicate that officials, including Chair Powell, anticipate lowering interest rates twice more before the year ends.

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about 9 hours ago

Upcoming Interest Rate Adjustments

The Federal Reserve is planning two more interest rate cuts before the end of the year, reflecting broad agreement among board members. Initial discussions centered on whether to implement two or three cuts. The September meeting resulted in a quarter-point reduction, establishing a target range of 4%–4.25%. Officials are positioned to respond to economic developments with timely action.

Dissent and Economic Concerns

Governor Steve Miran voiced dissent, advocating for a half-point cut, making him the sole "dot" projecting a more aggressive easing path. Some officials expressed concerns about potential restraint, noting that financial conditions may not be restrictive. There was a focus on weakening labor market conditions and diminished inflation risks.

Tariffs, Shutdown & Data

Tariffs implemented by President Trump are believed to have raised prices this year but aren't expected to cause lasting inflation. The government shutdown presents a significant challenge, as the lack of updates on key economic indicators could lead to the board operating "flying blind" at the October meeting. Market surveys anticipate at least two rate cuts by year-end.