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>>When will the Bitcoin bull market begin? An analyst outlines the indicators that will point the way.

When will the Bitcoin bull market begin? An analyst outlines the indicators that will point the way.

crypthub

about 12 hours ago

Crypto Analyst’s Bull‑Run Criteria

CrypFlow says a Bitcoin bull market only begins after clear technical confirmations, not at the price floor. He identifies three signals that must line up before the next cycle is valid. Bitcoin currently trades around $71,750, up 4.3% in 24 hours and recently hit $72,379. The price is still 43% below its October 2025 peak of $126,000. Market opinion is split on whether the bottom has been reached.

Why the Bottom Isn’t the Start

According to CrypFlow, a bottom merely stops the decline; it does not prove a trend reversal. The 50‑week SMA and the WaveTrend –14 level have historically separated bearish from bullish phases. In 2021 the breakdown of both lines preceded the 2022 bear market, while the 2022 recovery only turned bullish after they were reclaimed. The same pattern appears now, with Bitcoin below the descending trendline, the 50‑week SMA, and the –14 threshold.

Conditions Needed for a New Rally

The analyst lists three requirements: a break above the descending trendline from the cycle top, a move back above the –14 WaveTrend level, and a price climb over the 50‑week SMA. Until all three occur, price gains remain short‑term corrections. The 50‑week SMA is lagging, so its breach signals that the cycle, not the bottom, has truly shifted.