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>>An analyst predicted the Bitcoin price plunge four months ago, and there’s more to the story.

An analyst predicted the Bitcoin price plunge four months ago, and there’s more to the story.

crypthub

about 3 hours ago

Bitcoin Price Model and Risk Zones

A crypto analyst’s updated model predicts a Bitcoin price decline aligned with yearly, monthly, and weekly cycles. The yearly cycle highlights an extreme risk zone ahead of a February 2024 pivot, with historical patterns showing 50% drops before rebounds. The February pivot may signal relief rather than a new high, with a macro risk window projected from April to September 2026.

Monthly and Weekly Cycle Analysis

On the monthly cycle, a December 22 pivot could trigger drawdowns of 56%–77%, with historical rebounds reaching 140%–375%. The weekly cycle indicates a November 19 pivot, with past pullbacks of 20%–34% followed by 95%–127% rebounds. These cycles suggest tactical short-term adjustments but caution against immediate recovery.

Crash Targets and Recovery Outlook

The analyst refines crash targets to 34%–55% from all-time highs, with key support levels at $90,000 (November) and $72,000 (January). A late-November bounce is possible before further declines, with deeper bear-market conditions unconfirmed. Investors are advised to prepare for multi-stage recovery as the next macro cycle unfolds.