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>>Analyst predicts Bitcoin may experience a major rebound once geopolitical tensions subside.

Analyst predicts Bitcoin may experience a major rebound once geopolitical tensions subside.

crypthub

1 day ago

Price Surge Amid Ceasefire

Bitcoin briefly rose above $72,000 after a two‑week U.S.–Iran ceasefire, though the truce remains disputed. Santiment calls the bounce “a small drop in the bucket” but expects upside once geopolitics settle. The rally peaked near $73,000 before retreating to around $71,000 as doubts grew.

Lagging Assets and Upside Potential

Year‑to‑date Bitcoin is down ~20%, versus a 2% loss for the S&P 500 and a 9% gain for gold, making it the laggard. Analyst Brian Quinlivan says this gap signals potential regression to the mean and higher upside when the war eases. He estimates 80% of next month’s Bitcoin movement will hinge on conflict resolution, citing past recoveries after COVID panic and the FTX collapse.

Whale Inactivity and Retail Buying

Large holders (10‑10,000 BTC wallets) are flat at a four‑year low, limiting market supply. Meanwhile, small wallets (<0.01 BTC) have been buying on dips, with a 365‑day MVRV around –24%, a historically low‑risk entry zone. Their combined share remains only about 0.25% of total Bitcoin.