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Yes

>>Prediction markets put the US‑Iran ceasefire on a very short timeline.

Prediction markets put the US‑Iran ceasefire on a very short timeline.

crypthub

about 8 hours ago

Market Sentiment

Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are wagering on a tentative cease‑fire, with more than $16.5 million placed on when—or whether—the United States will officially end its military campaign against Tehran.

Key Takeaways

Polymarket’s U.S.–Iran military‑operations market generated $16.4 million in volume, and the April 30 contract reflects about a 42 % chance of resolution. Kalshi’s odds assign only a 16 % probability to the same event.