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>>The CEO forecasts that Bitcoin will surge to $180,000, with money flowing in abundantly.

The CEO forecasts that Bitcoin will surge to $180,000, with money flowing in abundantly.

crypthub

6 days ago

Bitcoin and Global Money Supply

VanEck’s Mid‑October 2025 ChainCheck ties Bitcoin’s long‑term upside to broad money growth, noting a 0.5 correlation with global M2 since 2014. Over that period, global liquidity doubled while Bitcoin surged about 700‑fold. The firm estimates Bitcoin holds roughly 2 % of the world’s money supply, suggesting that owning less is effectively a bet against the asset class.

Futures Market Influence

Futures open interest accounts for roughly 73 % of Bitcoin’s price variance since October 2020, according to VanEck’s data. Cash collateral backing these contracts sits near $145 billion, with open interest peaking at $52 billion on Oct 6 before falling to $39 billion after a rapid 20 % price drop. High‑leverage positions, often above 30 %, have historically unwound within 75 days, amplifying sudden swings.

Safe‑Haven Rotation and Forecasts

Analysts view gold’s recent market‑cap correction as a temporary cool‑off, implying investors may shift between protection and growth assets. A softer US CPI or easing trade tensions could steer capital toward Bitcoin, supporting a target of $130 k–$132 k in Q1 2026. VanEck also cites nearer milestones of $129.2 k and $141 k, with a sustained rise above $125 k signaling renewed buying strength.

Current Levels and Risks

Bitcoin is trading between $108 k and $125 k, with a “Whale Buy Zone” identified near $108.6 k. Maintaining price above $108 k tilts odds toward the upside, while breaches could trigger downside pressure. Monitoring these levels helps gauge market momentum and risk exposure.