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CRYPTO NEWS

Beware of Getting Stuck in XRP: Analyst Warns the Price Could Still Dive to This Level

Analyst CasiTrades cautions that the recent upward bounce of XRP is potentially a trap. Technical analysis suggests the current move is not a structural change but rather movement within a larger bearish pattern. The RSI shows bearish divergence, indicating momentum strength is questionable. Despite bullish candlesticks, the price has failed to create a new high above $1.4, signaling ongoing resistance. The market resistance is highlighted by a completed five-wave move structure. Bearish divergence on the RSI supports the argument of impending reversal or exhaustion. Although the price is experiencing a fast rebound, nothing fundamental has changed yet. The current strength may simply be noise within the prevailing larger pattern. The analysis forecasts a significant reversal into an extended crash, targeting levels below $1. Initial downside targets include $1.13, marking a return to a prior crash bottom. This is followed by a movement towards the macro support zone around $1.08. The final projected leg break is below $1, aiming for the 0.854 support at approximately $0.87. The bearish case remains valid unless bulls reclaim a specific overhead zone. The critical support level needed for a reversal is the 0.618 zone. This target is situated around $1.40, which would need to flip into strong support for a significant change in trajectory.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Gold prices surge past $4,800, soaring as the dollar weakens and defying gravity.

Spot gold has stayed above $4,800 per ounce, the highest level in three weeks, as traders in London and New York observe strong price resilience. The rally coincides with a broad weakening of the US dollar, which makes dollar‑denominated gold cheaper for foreign investors. This price zone now acts as a key psychological support level. The metal broke above its 50‑day moving average, turning the $4,800 mark into technical support. The Relative Strength Index sits in neutral territory, suggesting further upside is possible without immediate overbought conditions. Central‑bank buying in emerging markets and stabilising ETF holdings provide an additional price floor. A sustained drop in the US Dollar Index is the primary catalyst, fueled by softer CPI data, weaker retail sales, and a flattening Treasury yield curve. These factors lower expectations of aggressive Fed rate hikes, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non‑yielding assets like gold. Consequently, international demand for gold has risen as the currency loses value. Gold’s outperformance lifts mining equities and bullion‑related ETFs, while other commodities such as copper lag behind. Safe‑haven demand remains a background factor, but the rally is driven mainly by macro‑economic shifts. Future momentum will hinge on upcoming Fed communications and inflation figures.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Oil falls to its sharpest drop since COVID after a ceasefire agreement, while the Strait of Hormuz stays congested.

The market remains focused on shifts in crude oil pricing and supply patterns. Negotiators have secured a two‑week pause in hostilities involving Iran. Experts advise moving out of physical oil positions and into oil‑related equities. Iran's capacity to sway global oil markets is waning as time advances. Even with the conflict de‑escalated, inflationary forces continue to challenge the economy.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Shinhan Card Finalizes Groundbreaking Proof of Concept for Next-Generation Finance Using Stablecoin Payments

Shinhan Card completed a PoC linking its card network with blockchain stablecoins. Six core functions—settlement finality, interoperability, security, etc.—were validated. The result proves digital assets can be embedded in ordinary payments. The trial focuses on faster global settlement and low‑cost cross‑border transfers. Stablecoins, pegged to fiat, give price stability while retaining blockchain speed. Tests show transactions could settle in minutes, cutting fees and intermediaries. Analysts see the PoC as a signal that banks are moving from observation to implementation. If scaled, users could enjoy instant international payments and tokenized rewards. Regulatory approval, scalability and education remain hurdles before a commercial launch.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Iran announced that only 12 vessels will be permitted each day to transit the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran is heavily restricting maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The country requires ships to coordinate with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps for passage. Mediation terms reportedly dictate that fees must be paid in Chinese yuan or cryptocurrency. Increased tensions have led some reports to claim the vital strait is closed to shipping. Current agreements reportedly limit daily crossings to around 12 vessels under ceasefire terms. Furthermore, vessel operators must secure formal advance approval before entering the waterway. The daily count has shown significant drops, reaching a low of only four ships in one instance. Iranian officials have also criticized external powers for allegedly violating diplomatic commitments. Trading activity on Wall Street reflects high levels of investor confidence despite geopolitical risks. Market participants have been betting on a de-escalation, known as the TACO trade. Optimism is noted by analysts, suggesting that investors are balancing risk awareness with positive historical trends. The S&P 500 recently posted a gain, fueling this positive market sentiment.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Morgan Stanley’s MSBT Bitcoin ETF debut attracts $34 million.

Morgan Stanley placed its own spot bitcoin exchange‑traded fund on the NYSE Arca platform this week, marking the first time a major U.S. commercial bank has directly offered such a product. The fund, designated MSBT, debuted on April 8 2026, establishing Morgan Stanley as the inaugural U.S. bank to launch a proprietary spot bitcoin ETF. Its expense ratio of 0.14% is lower than the fee charged by BlackRock.

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CRYPTO NEWS

USD/JPY Outlook: A pivotal symmetrical triangle breach below 159.00 warns of serious downside risk.

The USD/JPY pair fell below the key 159.00 support, confirming a symmetrical triangle breakdown that began in early May 2025. Two consecutive daily closes under 159.00 and heightened volume validated the move. The 50‑day moving average at 158.75 now acts as resistance, while the next supports sit at 157.50 and 156.80. The RSI at 42 signals bearish momentum without being oversold. Weaker yen pressure stems from Bank of Japan discussions on yield‑curve control and the Fed’s unchanged rate stance with fewer expected cuts. Japanese inflation hit 2.8% YoY, surpassing the BOJ target, while U.S. retail sales slipped 0.3% MoM, widening the interest‑rate differential. These data points shift expectations toward a stronger dollar and a softer yen. Strategists note the breakdown reflects growing policy divergence, and large speculative long positions may be unwound, intensifying the sell‑off. Historical triangle breakdowns have produced 2.8%‑5.7% moves, projecting potential targets near 155.50‑154.80. However, past performance does not guarantee future results amid evolving market structures. A weaker yen benefits Japanese exporters but raises costs for importers of dollar‑denominated commodities. Traders should watch BOJ rhetoric, U.S. Treasury yields, and the pair’s correlation with the S&P 500 (currently 0.68). Risk management calls for tight stop‑losses above 158.75 and careful position sizing as volatility persists.

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CRYPTO NEWS

When will the Bitcoin bull market begin? An analyst outlines the indicators that will point the way.

CrypFlow says a Bitcoin bull market only begins after clear technical confirmations, not at the price floor. He identifies three signals that must line up before the next cycle is valid. Bitcoin currently trades around $71,750, up 4.3% in 24 hours and recently hit $72,379. The price is still 43% below its October 2025 peak of $126,000. Market opinion is split on whether the bottom has been reached. According to CrypFlow, a bottom merely stops the decline; it does not prove a trend reversal. The 50‑week SMA and the WaveTrend –14 level have historically separated bearish from bullish phases. In 2021 the breakdown of both lines preceded the 2022 bear market, while the 2022 recovery only turned bullish after they were reclaimed. The same pattern appears now, with Bitcoin below the descending trendline, the 50‑week SMA, and the –14 threshold. The analyst lists three requirements: a break above the descending trendline from the cycle top, a move back above the –14 WaveTrend level, and a price climb over the 50‑week SMA. Until all three occur, price gains remain short‑term corrections. The 50‑week SMA is lagging, so its breach signals that the cycle, not the bottom, has truly shifted.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Nikon's NEMO is set to launch on the ISS this week.

Nikon will send its live‑cell observation system, the Nikon Experimentation Microscope in Orbit (NEMO), to the International Space Station. NEMO combines Nikon’s microscope with an automated incubator from BioServe Space Technologies. The hardware will launch aboard NASA’s Northrop Grumman CRS‑24 resupply flight. The instrument is intended to study how microgravity influences drug discovery, tissue behavior and the aging process. In space, reduced gravity accelerates biological changes such as bone loss and epigenetic aging, offering a unique model for age‑related disease research. By observing cells in real time, scientists hope to pinpoint mechanisms that are difficult to capture on Earth. Research will use microphysiological systems (MPS), 3‑D cell cultures that mimic real tissue more accurately than traditional monolayers. NEMO’s high‑resolution imaging will monitor cell responses, drug interactions and tissue architecture under microgravity. Findings could inform both medical therapies and future human space exploration. CRS‑24 is slated to deliver up to 11,000 lb of scientific payloads, including NEMO, a new Cold Atom Lab module, and experiments on space weather, gut microbiomes, and radiation effects. The mission launches on 11 April and aims to expand quantum science and astronaut health knowledge. These combined studies support NASA’s goals for Moon and Mars missions.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Bitcoin Depot Hack: Critical Security Flaw Leads to Loss of 50.9 BTC

Bitcoin Depot, the largest U.S. Bitcoin ATM operator, reported a breach on March 23, 2025. Hackers accessed the company’s IT system and stole 50.9 BTC, worth about $3.66 million. The loss was disclosed in an SEC filing as a material event. Customer funds and data were not affected. The attackers compromised a settlement account that functioned as a hot wallet for daily operations. By moving laterally within the network, they obtained cryptographic keys and initiated unauthorized withdrawals. The breach underscores the risk of connecting corporate IT to blockchain wallets. Experts recommend cold storage, multi‑signature wallets, and continuous monitoring to mitigate such threats. As a Nasdaq‑listed company, Bitcoin Depot must file timely disclosures under Regulation FD. The SEC filing triggers regulatory scrutiny and may influence upcoming custody‑security rules. Investors are watching the stock for potential sell‑offs. Future compliance may require audits, cold‑storage mandates, and cyber‑insurance. The incident highlights a “last‑mile” security gap in the crypto‑ATM ecosystem. Trust in kiosks could erode if similar breaches recur, slowing adoption. Industry players must collaborate with security researchers and regulators to harden backend systems. Strengthened enterprise safeguards are essential for mainstream acceptance of digital assets.

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CRYPTO NEWS

The chance that the Fed will maintain rates in April is 98.4%, reflecting market confidence in policy stability.

Traders assign a 98.4% chance the Fed will keep the policy rate unchanged at the April meeting, leaving only a 1.6% odds of a 25‑bp hike. The CME FedWatch Tool derives this figure from 30‑day fed‑funds futures prices. Such near‑certainty signals broad market confidence in a short‑term policy pause. The tool translates futures contracts into implied probabilities for each possible FOMC outcome. By aggregating trading activity, it offers a real‑time, data‑driven gauge of sentiment, reducing reliance on ambiguous Fed statements. Analysts use it to quantify expectations beyond qualitative commentary. The Fed has been in a “higher‑for‑longer” stance after eleven hikes since March 2022, holding rates at 5.25‑5.50%. For the June meeting the market sees a 96.8% probability of no change, with only 1.5% for a hike and 1.7% for a cut. This suggests any easing is likely postponed to later in 2024 or beyond. A stable rate environment eases short‑term uncertainty for equities and supports the current bond yield curve, while keeping mortgage and loan costs high. Investors interpret the hold as a signal that the Fed awaits clearer inflation progress before trimming policy. The consensus underscores a cautious, data‑dependent monetary path.

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CRYPTO NEWS

In March, crypto card transaction volumes surged threefold as the stablecoin environment evolved.

In March, crypto card transaction volumes hit $600 million, a three‑fold increase compared with the previous year. This surge marks a significant rise in activity for the sector. USDT continues to dominate the market, yet USDC usage is gaining traction in Western regions. The report is titled “Cryptocurrency card transaction volumes triple in March amid changing stablecoin landscape” and was first published on COINTURK NEWS.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Dollar/rupee slides sharply as oil prices tumble dramatically after the US‑Iran ceasefire agreement.

The USD/INR dropped to 82.45 after the US‑Iran ceasefire, giving the rupee its biggest one‑day gain in six months. Lower geopolitical risk lifted emerging‑market sentiment and cut India’s oil‑import costs. The RBI monitored the move but did not intervene. Brent fell 8.3% to $68.50, the sharpest slide since March 2020, as traders priced in resumed Iranian exports. WTI slid to $64.20 and insurance costs around the Strait of Hormuz fell, spurring a surge in oil‑futures trading. Trading volume in the USD/INR pair jumped 240% and Brent options open interest rose sharply. Cheaper oil improves India’s current account by about 0.4% of GDP per $10 cut and eases fuel‑subsidy pressures. A stronger rupee, however, squeezes export‑oriented IT and pharma firms as dollar revenues convert to fewer rupees. The dollar index fell 0.6% while the real and rand rose, easing pressure on emerging markets.

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CRYPTO NEWS

EUR/USD outlook: climbs to a new monthly peak near 1.1700 as bulls seize control

The EUR/USD pair broke to a fresh monthly high near 1.1700, its strongest level in four weeks. The rally was sparked by shifting dynamics between the Eurozone and U.S. economies, drawing wide attention from traders. Market participants now watch whether this momentum can hold through the week’s close. The pair slipped above the 50‑day moving average at 1.1650, which now acts as support, while the RSI sits at 62, indicating solid buying pressure without being overbought. Key resistance lies at 1.1720, with a secondary barrier at 1.1750, the late‑September swing high. MACD, trendline break, and an 18% rise in breakout volume all point to further upside potential. Euro strength is underpinned by a hawkish ECB stance and slightly higher‑than‑expected Eurozone inflation, limiting expectations for rate cuts. U.S. data showed mixed signals, softening the Fed’s rate‑hike outlook and narrowing the interest‑rate differential by about 15 basis points. Hedge funds cut net short Euro positions by 22%, adding to the bullish bias. Potential headwinds include stronger U.S. economic releases, renewed Fed hawkishness, or geopolitical shocks in Eastern Europe. Short‑term overbought signals on lower timeframes could trigger a pullback, and a dip in European equities may pressure the Euro. Nonetheless, analysts remain cautiously optimistic, watching upcoming PMI, retail sales, and central‑bank commentary for cues.

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CRYPTO NEWS

EUR/JPY outlook: The pivotal 185.00 level stays firm after a sharp bounce off the channel’s high.

The EUR/JPY pair is hovering around the 185.00 level after being rejected from the top of its multi‑month ascending channel. This zone now acts as a decisive support‑resistance confluence for traders. A break below could reverse the recent uptrend, while a hold may trigger a move toward the next resistance near 186.50. The pullback from the 186.50 high showed lower volatility and an RSI dip from overbought to about 55, indicating reduced buying pressure. The 50‑period SMA sits near 184.80, providing additional support. Key levels to watch are 185.80 as short‑term resistance and 183.50 as the lower channel boundary. Diverging monetary policies keep the pair bullish; the ECB remains data‑dependent with possible rate cuts later in the year, while the Bank of Japan stays ultra‑accommodative after ending negative rates. Eurozone inflation surprises can lift the euro, whereas weaker Japanese data tends to support the yen. These policy gaps continue to fuel capital flows toward the euro. A firm bounce off 184.80‑185.00 would likely prompt a test of 186.50, whereas a decisive close below 183.50 could open a correction toward 180.00. Global risk appetite and yen‑safe‑haven demand also influence short‑term moves. Traders should monitor volume and central‑bank signals for any shift in momentum.

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CRYPTO NEWS

UOB Analysis: Understanding India's Extended RBI Rate-Hold Strategy

The RBI’s monetary committee is likely to keep the repo rate at 6.50% for several meetings. It follows a flexible inflation‑targeting regime set in 2016, with a 4% CPI goal and a ±2% band. Recent CPI readings hover near the upper band, prompting caution on easing. The board appears to prioritize price stability over growth, mirroring global central‑bank trends. Headline inflation was 4.83% YoY in April 2024, above the medium‑term target, while core inflation stays around 3.2%. Food price volatility, tied to monsoon variability, adds upside risk. At the same time, GDP grew 7.8% YoY in Q1 2024 and PMI surveys remain in expansion, reducing immediate stimulus pressure. Credit growth stays robust and the current account deficit has narrowed, supporting a steady‑rate approach. Bond markets price the 10‑year yield in a tight 7.00‑7.15% band, reflecting expectations of rate stability through 2024. Equity and banking sectors benefit from predictable borrowing costs and healthy net interest margins. External factors such as the Fed’s high rates and stable oil prices lessen pressure on the RBI, while fiscal consolidation and structural reforms reinforce domestic resilience. Investors should prepare for continued rate hold into 2025, with policy shifts hinging on monsoon performance and global commodity trends.

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CRYPTO NEWS

This important Bitcoin indicator implies that the current downward trend is likely to persist.

Bitcoin has lost over 50% of its value since the October 2025 peak, forcing investors to cut losses. The decline has created a broad bearish environment across crypto. On‑chain data suggest downward pressure may persist beyond current lows. The Tactical Bull‑Bear Sentiment Index places the market in extreme bearish territory, showing bears still dominate. Wyckoff patterns like selling climaxes imply a possible $15,000 panic drop, though further losses are likely modest. Sentiment will remain depressed and price range‑bound for weeks. CryptoQuant’s Inter‑Exchange Flow Pulse has moved back toward a bull reading, indicating hidden recovery. Whale addresses are accumulating quickly, pointing to long‑term buying. These signs may usher a shift to steady accumulation after a five‑month fear phase.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Solana faces increasing breakdown risk as the $94 supply zone significantly dampens momentum.

Solana (SOL) was rejected sharply at the $92‑$94 supply zone, ending its recent upside. Momentum has faded and price is slipping toward key support levels. Sellers are tightening their grip, raising the risk of a deeper breakdown. The next move will likely decide short‑term direction. SOL trades in a well‑defined channel with resistance at $96.04 and support at $76.66, hovering around $79.11. Holding the $76.66 floor could produce a double‑bottom bounce toward $81 and then $85, where the 50‑day SMA may impede further gains. A daily close below $76.66 would break the channel, opening the path to the YTD low near $68.54 or even the psychological $50 level. The token remains anchored at its 50‑day moving average, marking an accumulation stage despite broader market moves. Clearing the MA50 would signal the end of consolidation and could unleash a sustained rally. Traders are watching for a decisive close above this level to confirm breakout potential.

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CRYPTO NEWS

Canary Capital launches a PEPE ETF as Wall Street gauges institutional appetite for meme cryptocurrencies.

Institutional interest in meme‑based cryptocurrencies is widening as Canary Capital submits an SEC filing to create a PEPE exchange‑traded fund. The ETF would provide investors with brokerage‑mediated exposure, eliminating the need for direct token custody and avoiding the risks associated with derivatives. The proposed PEPE ETF would track the token’s price by holding the cryptocurrency itself, signaling a broader move toward incorporating highly volatile digital assets into mainstream investment offerings.

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