The Blockchain Association announced its tax policy stance. It recommends that small‑value crypto transfers be exempt from taxation, while mining and staking activities should continue to be taxed.
The Australian CPI rose 3.8% YoY in January 2025, topping the 3.7% forecast and December’s 3.5% reading. Monthly CPI increased 0.5% seasonally adjusted, driven by 5.2% housing cost growth and a 4.1% rise in food prices. Services inflation stayed high at 4.3%, while insurance and education costs also jumped. Bond yields climbed, with three‑year yields up 12 basis points, and the Aussie dollar gained against major currencies. The ASX 200 fell 0.8% before partially recovering, reflecting worries about sustained higher rates. Investors now price fewer rate cuts for 2025. The RBA is likely to keep rates restrictive, delaying any cuts as inflation remains above target. Governor Bullock stresses a data‑dependent stance, while household debt near a record 188% of disposable income raises financial stability concerns. Forecasts now expect only 25 basis points of cuts in 2025, down from earlier expectations. Higher prices are curbing discretionary spending, with 68% of families cutting non‑essential purchases and savings falling to 4.2% of disposable income. Regional inflation varies, hitting 4.1% in Western Australia and 3.4% in Tasmania. Internationally, Australia’s inflation exceeds the US (3.2%) and Eurozone (3.1%) but mirrors New Zealand’s 3.9%, highlighting global pressure on domestic price dynamics.
President Trump announced a five‑year low in CPI inflation during the State of the Union. The drop follows a post‑pandemic peak and eases pressure on household budgets. Economists welcome the relief but stress the need to examine supply chain and energy price factors. The inflation decline has pushed mortgage rates to a four‑year low of about 4.9 %. Median home‑price growth has slowed, making monthly payments more affordable. Experts caution that limited inventory and regional gaps could temper the market rebound. Trump cited roughly $18 trillion in pledged foreign investments across technology, renewable energy, and biotech sectors. He also announced an 80‑million‑barrel oil agreement with Venezuela to boost strategic reserves. Both moves aim to strengthen economic growth and stabilize fuel prices. U.S. stock indices have reached new highs, reflecting optimism about a “soft landing.” Investors see the combined effect of lower inflation and stable employment as a positive signal. Long‑term market strength will depend on sustained corporate earnings and steady policy.
Bitcoin has officially moved into a cyclical bear market after a prolonged side‑way phase and a drop below $65,000. Analysts expect continued volatility and further price pressure. Crypto Patel estimates the true bottom may be roughly 253 days away, based on multi‑cycle analysis. The 2018 and 2022 bear markets each lasted about 395 days, ending near an upward‑sloping support line after deep price collapses of 84% and 78% respectively. In both cases extreme fear peaked as the market neared exhaustion. Patel argues that this historic timing pattern is crucial for forecasting Bitcoin’s next bottom. Using the prior crashes as a benchmark, Patel predicts a 68% correction that could push Bitcoin to around $40,000, possibly over a 395‑day period. After hitting that low, he expects a massive rebound, targeting a 610% rise to roughly $304,000. The $38,000 level is highlighted as a key support or entry point for investors.
A dormant wallet moved $2.59 million of PUMP tokens to Bitget on March 21, 2025. The address, beginning with “GpCfm”, had been inactive for eight months, raising sell‑off concerns. Large exchange deposits often precede price pressure on meme coins. The $2.59 M transfer follows $5.15 M moved over four days, all from the Pump.fun custody wallet. The whale still owns about 2.08 billion PUMP, so the recent deposits are a small slice of its stake. Staggered transfers hint at an attempt to soften market impact. Rapid sales could overwhelm the order book and push prices sharply lower. Gradual or OTC sales would apply steadier, milder pressure. The actual effect will depend on Bitget’s liquidity and the whale’s execution plan. Experts see the wake‑up as a deliberate move, possibly linked to project news or personal liquidity needs. Watching the Bitget address will reveal whether tokens stay idle, are split, or hit the market. Traders should monitor subsequent flows to adjust risk strategies.
XAG/USD fell to about $87 per ounce on December 12, 2024, marking the steepest single‑day drop in three months. Massive liquidations by Chinese institutional investors pushed trading volume to 245 % of the 30‑day average. Analysts view the $87 level as a pivotal support that has acted as both resistance and floor in past cycles. Chinese banks sold silver to bolster yuan liquidity, meet new capital‑adequacy rules, and react to weak industrial production, withdrawing 42 metric tons from the Shanghai Gold Exchange—the largest outflow since March 2023. The 18 % decline sits within historical correction ranges, lower than the 34 % drop in 2011 and the 41 % plunge in 2020. This suggests a potential stabilization near the current $87 zone. Technical indicators show the 200‑day moving average at $89.50 as resistance, with Fibonacci supports at $86.75 and $84.20; RSI is oversold and a falling‑wedge pattern hints at a bullish breakout above $90.50. Long‑term fundamentals stay robust as solar‑panel, 5G, automotive and medical sectors expand, while mine output fell 2.3 % in 2024, creating a structural deficit. These forces could lift silver back to higher levels despite short‑term pressure.
Following a sharp decline earlier in the week, cryptocurrency traders drove prices upward again during early Asian trading on Wednesday.
Forward Industries moved 8,200 ETH, valued at about $14.9 million, to Coinbase on April 15 2025. The transfer came from the firm’s treasury wallet, indicating intent to sell or repurpose the assets. It concludes a 2‑3 year holding period during which ETH prices fell markedly. Analysts estimate a $10.8 million loss, suggesting an average purchase price near $3,138 per ETH, matching early‑2022 levels. The disposal likely serves tax‑loss harvesting to offset gains elsewhere. This loss realization reflects a deliberate treasury maneuver rather than an accidental error. The $14.9 million deposit is negligible versus Ethereum’s daily $10 billion trading volume, so price impact was minimal. Experts note such large deposits usually support portfolio rebalancing, liquidity needs, or tax planning, not impulsive trading. After tax considerations, the net financial effect could be neutral or even positive. Blockchain’s public ledger let analysts trace the move without any company statement. The event shows how on‑chain transparency merges with traditional finance tactics in institutional crypto management. Observers must interpret such data within broader strategic contexts.
India led global generative‑AI app downloads in 2025, accounting for about 20% of worldwide installs and outpacing the US. Installations rose 207% YoY, with September‑October spikes of 320% and 260%. Content‑creation tools made up a large share of the top‑20 apps, reflecting strong demand. Despite the download surge, India generated only ~1% of in‑app purchase revenue. Revenue fell 22% and 18% in Nov‑Dec 2025, and ChatGPT’s earnings dropped over 30% after a free “ChatGPT Go” rollout. The market’s price sensitivity creates a stark adoption‑versus‑profit divide. AI firms are moving from free‑user acquisition to paid experiments; OpenAI ended free ChatGPT Go, and Perplexity halted bundled offers with Airtel. ChatGPT still holds 60% of Indian AI revenue and 180 million MAUs, but Google’s Gemini and others are rapidly gaining users. Companies are testing low‑cost subscriptions, telecom bundles, micro‑transactions, regional language features, and enterprise/education deals to suit India’s value‑conscious base. Gradual price‑pressure easing and deeper user integration are expected to lift in‑app revenue over time.
Bitcoin fell below $65,000, touching a low of $62,500. It has begun to recover toward the $65,000 area. Trading stays under the $66,500 hourly SMA and a bearish trend line at $66,600. A break below $65,500 could start another decline. Immediate resistance is at $66,500, with the next barrier near $67,200 (76.4% Fib). A close above $67,200 may lift price toward $68,000 and higher zones at $68,800, $69,200 and $69,500. The MACD is bullish and RSI stays above 50, supporting upside moves. Sustained strength above $65,000 is needed for a rally. Key support sits at $65,500, followed by $65,000 and $64,200. Continued pressure could push price to $63,500 and then $62,500, where recovery becomes difficult. These levels correspond to recent swing lows. Protecting these floors is vital for short‑term stability. The hourly MACD is accelerating in bullish territory. RSI remains above the 50 midpoint, indicating moderate momentum. A bearish trend line at $66,600 still caps upside potential. Traders watch the $66,500‑$67,200 window for decisive direction.
WTI slipped to about $66 per barrel after the EIA reported a surprise 12.1 million‑barrel rise in U.S. crude stocks for the week ending April 4. The fourth consecutive build reflects steady 13.2 million bpd production, slightly lower refinery runs and modest gasoline demand. The oversupply has turned the market bearish. May contracts fell over 3.5%, breaking the 50‑day and 100‑day moving averages and triggering stop‑loss orders. Algorithmic selling accelerated the decline, and analysts warn a breach below $66 could open a path toward $64. $66 now acts as a key psychological barrier. US‑Iran talks on reviving the JCPOA add a “shadow supply” risk, as lifted sanctions could let Iran boost exports by 1‑1.5 million bpd within a year. Positive diplomatic news pushes WTI lower, while any setback or Strait‑of‑Hormuz tension could lift prices. Traders watch statements from Vienna, Brussels and Washington. The WTI‑Brent spread has tightened to $2.5, energy stocks and oil‑exporter currencies have slipped, and gasoline‑pump benefits may lag. Eyes are on China’s industrial demand, Europe’s recovery and the early‑May OPEC+ meeting, where further cuts or extensions could support prices. Without a demand surge or supply shock, the inventory overhang may keep WTI subdued through Q2 2025.
Nasdaq‑listed FG Nexus sold 7,550 ETH for $14.06 million, pushing its cumulative realized loss on the position to about $87 million. The company bought 50,600 ETH in August 2023 for $200 million at roughly $3,940 each. Since November 2023 it has divested 21,000 ETH – about 41.5 % of the original holding. These sales reflect a broader rebalancing of its crypto treasury amid falling prices. Corporate crypto strategies are diverging as firms react to market volatility, evolving accounting standards, and regulatory clarity. Unlike Bitcoin‑first adopters, FG Nexus entered the Ethereum market later and now faces GAAP treatment that forces impairment testing but forbids upside revaluation. Liquidity needs, risk appetite and potential tax‑loss harvesting further drive divestment decisions. Proposed FASB changes could allow fair‑value reporting, altering future treasury choices. Although a single corporate dump can create short‑term price pressure, Ethereum’s daily volume exceeds $10 billion, so the impact remains limited. Public blockchains give analysts full visibility of wallet movements, as shown by AmberCN’s reporting. Institutional infrastructure – custody, trading platforms and staking services – is maturing, encouraging more nuanced portfolio management. Future corporate participation is likely to expand beyond holding Bitcoin to include DeFi, cross‑chain assets and active yield strategies.
Anthropic claims that certain Chinese artificial‑intelligence companies have illicitly copied its Claude model using a distillation approach. The alleged theft involved approximately 16 million queries and the creation of about 24 thousand counterfeit user accounts. The report examines the technical mechanics of the attack, outlines associated risks, and evaluates potential effects on the Bitcoin (BTC) market.
Coinbase’s report uses Gamma Exposure (GEX) to gauge Bitcoin’s short‑term volatility. GEX tracks how options makers hedge, creating feedback that can curb or boost price moves. Recent data shows a shift in GEX that may ignite volatility around $60‑$70 k. Between $60k and $70k the market holds negative gamma, forcing dealers to sell on rises and buy on drops. This creates a “negative gamma trap” that can accelerate declines and drain liquidity. Similar patterns have preceded sharp corrections in past cycles. Key levels are $60k support, $82k resistance and a positive‑gamma wall near $85‑$90k that encourages sideways action. Institutional option volume has risen above 40%, making GEX signals more dependable. Traders should monitor GEX with open interest and put/call ratios, and use tighter risk controls in the negative‑gamma band.
CAD/USD stayed in the 0.7350-0.7380 range as traders await Trump’s SOTU, creating pre‑speech paralysis. Volume dropped about 40%, showing hesitation. Typical commodity and policy drivers have left the pair flat. The pair consolidates with resistance at 0.7400 and support near 0.7320-0.7330; the 200‑day average is 0.7365. A breakout needs a strong trigger, likely the speech. Sentiment stays neutral. Canada posted stronger‑than‑expected job growth and oil above $75, while gas fell 8%. The Bank of Canada remains cautious versus the Fed. Trade‑policy cues in the address, especially on USMCA and energy, could shift expectations. Institutions cut CAD/USD exposure ~25% and bought volatility protection, lifting implied vol to 8.5%. A trade‑friendly speech could lift the loonie 1‑2%; protectionist talk might drop it 1.5‑3%. Longer‑term trends still depend on demographics, productivity and the energy transition.
Vitalik’s wallets swapped over 3,100 ETH for stablecoins on CoW Swap. On‑chain data shows his visible balance fell to about 224,000 ETH. Arkham Intelligence flagged the activity. The moves are public and routine. A $6 M sale is tiny compared with his multi‑hundred‑million‑dollar stake. Earlier transfers of roughly $29 M funded foundation projects, including $2.3 M for grants. Such treasury use is normal. Buterin hinted up to $44.7 M could be liquidated gradually as the Ethereum Foundation tightens spending. Converting to stablecoins cuts price risk while preserving buying power. The approach aims to stretch funds for core programs. ETH slipped below $1,900, hitting two‑week lows, which fuels short‑term anxiety. Prediction markets see a chance of $1,500 before a rebound to $3,000. Buterin also called for a mainnet rethink of L2 rollups and supported an upgrade for stronger censorship resistance.
Vitalik Buterin sold 675.88 ETH, about $1.25 million, via an OTC desk. This is part of a month‑long divestment of roughly 11,422 ETH (~$23 million) he announced on Jan 30. The nine‑hour transaction was spread to avoid market shock. The proceeds fund core Ethereum development, research grants, public‑goods projects and charitable causes. Money is sent to a multi‑signature wallet that distributes grants to client teams, scalability research and services like The Graph. This recycling aims to boost the protocol and increase ETH’s long‑term value. ETH’s price showed little volatility as the sale size is small versus daily volume and was executed off‑exchange. Transparent founder sales set a precedent that may motivate other large holders to fund open‑source work. Gradual wealth distribution also supports a more decentralized governance model.
The Ethereum Foundation has initiated a solo staking operation, committing approximately 70,000 ETH from its treasury. This marks the start of a significant staking effort conducted directly by the foundation. Staking rewards are being redirected to support the foundation’s ongoing operations. The initiative follows the foundation’s treasury policy and utilizes open‑source infrastructure to boost both resilience and decentralization.
Over the past three months, data show that the average holder has been selling Bitcoin at a loss.
The Korea Customs Service has redesigned its special judicial police training to tackle crypto‑related financial crimes. The revamp targets sophisticated virtual‑asset manipulation that endangers financial security. It combines enhanced classroom education with expanded on‑the‑job training nationwide. Officers will learn blockchain analysis, transaction‑pattern tracking, and methods to uncover mixing services and privacy coins. A dedicated foreign‑exchange course covers virtual‑asset tracking, case studies, and legal seizure procedures. International cooperation modules prepare customs personnel for cross‑border investigations with foreign financial‑intelligence units. South Korea’s crypto regulations since 2018—real‑name trading, the Specific Financial Information Act, and the Travel Rule—have revealed enforcement gaps that this training aims to fill. Aligning with FATF recommendations, the program supports the nation’s broader digital‑asset framework. It mirrors efforts in the US, EU, and Japan but integrates crypto expertise throughout customs operations. Improved investigative capacity is expected to boost market transparency and reduce fraud while balancing privacy safeguards. Successful implementation could set an international standard for customs‑led crypto crime response. The rollout proceeds in phases from Q2 2025 to Q1 2026 across all customs offices.
The PBOC set the USD/CNY reference at 6.9321, a 0.13% gain from 6.9414. It was the biggest yuan rise in three weeks, signaling a policy shift. The move balances inflation pressures with export competitiveness. The rate combines the prior spot, overnight moves and a counter‑cyclical factor to limit volatility. It sets a ±2% band, today about 6.7935‑7.0707. Five sessions show tight control and a net 0.21% weekly strengthen. Standard Chartered says the fix balances commodity‑driven inflation and export demand. Goldman Sachs ties it to Fed signals, a solid trade surplus and fresh bond inflows. Asian currencies rose and hedgers shifted as the yuan firmed. Strong PMI, steady CPI and $3 trillion reserves back the decision.
On March 21 2025 crypto futures saw $103 million liquidated within one hour, pushing the 24‑hour total past $362 million. The surge was driven mainly by long positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum that were wiped out as prices dropped sharply. Major exchanges Binance, Bybit and OKX reported the highest volumes, marking a peak of market stress. Liquidations occur when leveraged traders lose enough margin for the exchange to close their positions automatically. A 3‑5% price dip triggered mass margin calls, creating a feedback loop of forced selling. Contributing factors included unexpected macro data, large wallet inflows to exchanges, options expiry and an elevated aggregate leverage ratio. The cascade amplified the downward move, pressuring spot prices and reducing overall market liquidity. Analysts note that such events act as a “powder‑keg” release, often forming short‑term price bottoms while inflicting heavy losses on over‑leveraged participants. Historical comparison shows this event ranks among the largest non‑catastrophic liquidations since the 2022 FTX collapse. Traders are urged to lower leverage, use stop‑loss orders and avoid concentration in single positions. Exchanges may tighten margin requirements during extreme volatility to curb cascading failures. Understanding liquidation dynamics is essential for preserving capital in the highly volatile crypto market.
Major US financial institutions sold approximately $1.6 billion in Bitcoin exchange-traded funds during late 2025. The majority of these transactions were initiated by investment advisors and fund managers, rather than all market participants. Further details can be found in the article titled "US Portfolio Giants Scale Back Bitcoin ETFs as Market Faces New Pressures," which originally appeared on COINTURK NEWS.
Bitcoin traded at $66,133 on Binance USDT, overtaking the $66 k psychological barrier. The move marks a technical breakout and boosts bullish confidence among traders. Rising volume shows growing participation from both institutions and retail investors. Favorable macro sentiment, such as concerns over inflation and fiat devaluation, is steering capital to decentralized assets. Recent regulatory clarity in several jurisdictions has reduced uncertainty. On‑chain data reveal more active addresses and a drop in exchange‑held coins, while spot Bitcoin ETFs are channeling fresh institutional money. Spot market volume remains strong, indicating a solid foundation beyond leveraged futures activity. Funding rates on perpetual swaps are neutral, lowering the risk of a rapid correction. Key technical zones now sit at $64‑$65 k support and $68‑$70 k resistance, with the 200‑day moving average trending upward. The 2024 halving historically precedes a bullish phase, providing a cyclical backdrop for the current rise. Wider adoption by payment processors, corporate treasuries, and investment funds is expanding liquidity. Continued network upgrades, such as Lightning, enhance utility and could sustain price momentum.
